Home > Football > League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Salford City | 2 | 2 | 4 |
8 | Northampton Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Carlisle United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Swindon Town | 2 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Hartlepool United | 2 | -4 | 1 |
21 | Stockport County | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
54.76% ( 4.88) | 24.75% ( -0.73) | 20.49% ( -4.14) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( -2.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -1.13) | 54.05% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( -0.95) | 75.48% ( 0.96) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( 1.55) | 19.68% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( 2.46) | 51.67% ( -2.45) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.84% ( -4.66) | 41.17% ( 4.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.3% ( -4.41) | 77.7% ( 4.42) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 1.16) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 1.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.51) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.74) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.38) Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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