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J1 League | Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2023 at 6am UK
Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu
1 - 5
Shonan Bellmare

Ono (45+9')
Ono (29')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ohashi (3', 36', 60'), Hiraoka (45+5'), Onose (64')
Nagaki (45')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, November 5 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawShonan Bellmare
37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 34.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.13% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)58.87% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.63% (-0.023 -0.02)79.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.012 -0.01)30.5% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)66.72% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.57% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.43% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 37.07%
    Shonan Bellmare 34.75%
    Draw 28.15%
Sagan TosuDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 37.07%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 11.11%
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.75%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Shonan Bellmare
3-0
Sagan Tosu
Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')

Koizumi (89')
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Fujiwara (24')
Machino (68')
Nagaki (90+1')
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
Oct 25, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Shonan Bellmare
Cho (34'), Hayashi (75')
Miya (66')
Barada (20'), Ibusuki (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa361211134944547
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
12Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki361113125852646
14Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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