Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.