Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.