Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gamba Osaka in this match.