Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 17.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.