MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 06:12:04| >> :600:38161177:38161177:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 9, 2023 at 12am UK
AT&T Stadium
Qatar national football team

Panama
4 - 0
Qatar

Joel Barcenas (19'), Diaz (56', 63', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Panama and Qatar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Qatar

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Qatar
Monday, July 3 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Panama 2-1 Qatar (extra-time)

 These two experienced sides have shown a lot of resilience so far in this competition, and realistically this match could go either way. We will give the Panamanians the edge, however, because as a team, they have been a lot sharper going forward, and many of their regulars will be well-rested, which should come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawQatar
55.17%24.38%20.45%
Both teams to score 48.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99%19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43%50.57%
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56%40.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95%77.05%
Score Analysis
    Panama 55.16%
    Qatar 20.45%
    Draw 24.38%
PanamaDrawQatar
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 5.31%
4-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.96%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.45%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group C vs 2nd position Group B

1st ranked Group C
51.9%
Draw
25.9%
2nd position Group B
22.2%
27
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
International Friendly
Qatar
2-1
Panama
Jul 14, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Qatar
3-3
Panama
Afif (48'), Ali (53'), Al Heidos (63' pen.)
Blackburn (51', 58'), Davis (79' pen.)
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