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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Middlesbrough |
28.61% | 27.02% | 44.37% |
Both teams to score 48.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% | 56.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.7% | 77.29% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% | 35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% | 71.74% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% | 25.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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