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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
24% | 27.81% | 48.18% |
Both teams to score 43.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.41% | 61.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.56% | 81.43% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.05% | 41.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.61% | 78.39% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% | 25.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% | 60.69% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.18% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.15% Total : 24% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 14.65% 0-2 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 2% Total : 48.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |