Man City

3 - 1

Copenhagen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.