Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Al Janoub Stadium

Palestine
1 - 1
UAE

Abaelaziz (50' og.)
Jaber (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Adill Alamiri (23')
Adill Alamiri (16'), Bento (17')
Bento (0'), Alhammadi (37')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Palestine and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestine

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Iran 4-1 Palestine
Sunday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	1	3	3
2	United Arab Emirates	1	2	3
3	Hong Kong	0	0	0
4	Palestine	1	-3	0

United Arab Emirates

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: UAE 3-1 Hong Kong
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	1	3	3
2	United Arab Emirates	1	2	3
3	Hong Kong	0	0	0
4	Palestine	1	-3	0

We said: Palestine 0-2 United Arab Emirates

Palestine have work to do when it comes to competing against an experienced side like the UAE, and we expect them to be on the back foot and eventually succumb to the pressure in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Palestine win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Palestine	Draw	United Arab Emirates
30.27% ( 0.09)	28.83% ( -0.01)	40.89% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 44.37% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01% (

0.07)

61.99% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27% (

0.05)

81.73% (

-0.05)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.19% (

0.11)

36.81% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.4% (

0.11)

73.6% (

-0.11)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.02)

29.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.02)

65.86% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Palestine 30.26%

United Arab Emirates 40.88%

Draw 28.83%

Palestine	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 30.26%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.83%	0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.88%