UAE3 - 1Hong Kong
Nam Yue (27'), Gerbig (33')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: United Arab Emirates 2-0 Hong Kong
The United Arab Emirates are certainly a side to keep an eye on through this tournament and have the much better side on paper in this contest. Hong Kong are expected to give it their all, as they always do, but we are backing the Sons of Zayed to clinch the first three points in this group. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
Result | ||
United Arab Emirates | Draw | Hong Kong |
72.2% ( -0.25) | 18.66% ( 0.18) | 9.14% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 37.7% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.47% ( -0.51) | 51.53% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.67% ( -0.44) | 73.33% ( 0.44) |
United Arab Emirates Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.07% ( -0.22) | 12.93% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.61% ( -0.46) | 39.39% ( 0.46) |
Hong Kong Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.3% ( -0.17) | 56.7% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.13% ( -0.09) | 88.87% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
United Arab Emirates | Draw | Hong Kong |
2-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 15% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.2% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.66% | 0-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 9.14% |
How you voted: UAE vs Hong Kong
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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