Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa1 - 1Sarmiento
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Sarmiento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 30 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Boca Juniors
Sunday, August 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Sarmiento |
58.48% ( -0.44) | 24.78% ( 0.67) | 16.74% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 41.29% ( -2.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.28% ( -2.61) | 58.72% ( 2.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.75% ( -2.07) | 79.25% ( 2.07) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( -1.18) | 20.05% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% ( -1.92) | 52.27% ( 1.92) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.64% ( -1.86) | 48.36% ( 1.86) |