We said: Platense 1-1 Sarmiento
With the two sides boasting similar quality and having had similar seasons in the Primera Division, while both looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats, we cannot pick a winner on Sunday and instead opt for a share of the spoils, which would at least halt a possible losing run for Platense or Sarmiento.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.04%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 18% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.