MX23RW : Monday, November 25 19:01:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Gimenez Rojas (38', 52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez Rojas (79'), Toledo (85')
Mainero (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Newell's OB
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Sarmiento

Given that 12 of Sarmiento's last 13 matches have produced fewer than three goals, Friday's clash looks destined to be a low-scoring affair, especially when you consider that Damonte's men have not conceded a goal in five outings. Accordingly, we expect the visitors to notch a clean-sheet victory at the Estadio Libertadores de America, extending their unbeaten streak to seven games while heaping more misery on Independiente. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
45.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 31.16% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 23.46% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)87.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)31.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)83.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.38%
    Sarmiento 23.46%
    Draw 31.15%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.57%
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.38%
0-0 @ 15.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.82%
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Independiente vs Sarmiento

Independiente
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
gameweek 19
Sarmiento
1-2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Fernandez (75', 77')
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Sarmiento
Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Independiente
6-0
Sarmiento

Alanis (29'), Torres (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield24129335152045
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2410682525036
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra248972525033
13GimnasiaGimnasia248882120132
14BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
15EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
16TigreTigre247982628-230
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2461172325-229
18LanusLanus2461172228-629
19San Lorenzo237791921-228
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Defensa y JusticiaDefensa246992431-727
23Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
25BanfieldBanfield2458112130-923
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!