Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente2 - 0Sarmiento
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Newell's OB
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Independiente 0-1 Sarmiento
Given that 12 of Sarmiento's last 13 matches have produced fewer than three goals, Friday's clash looks destined to be a low-scoring affair, especially when you consider that Damonte's men have not conceded a goal in five outings. Accordingly, we expect the visitors to notch a clean-sheet victory at the Estadio Libertadores de America, extending their unbeaten streak to seven games while heaping more misery on Independiente. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Sarmiento |
45.39% ( -0.08) | 31.16% ( 0.03) | 23.46% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 35.25% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.84% ( -0.05) | 71.16% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.03% ( -0.03) | 87.97% ( 0.03) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% ( -0.07) | 31.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.59% ( -0.08) | 68.41% ( 0.08) |
Sarmiento Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.8% ( 0.01) | 48.2% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.63% ( 0.01) | 83.37% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente 45.38%
Sarmiento 23.46%
Draw 31.15%
Independiente | Draw | Sarmiento |
1-0 @ 17.57% 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 45.38% | 0-0 @ 15.4% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.82% 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.15% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 23.46% |
How you voted: Independiente vs Sarmiento
Independiente
20.0%Draw
20.0%Sarmiento
60.0%10
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 10:27:50
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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