Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18

May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
1 - 1
Lanus

Cauteruccio (12')
Laso (31'), Gomez (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sand (90+3' pen.)
Kudelka (32'), Boggio (34'), Martin Ginzo (54'), Lema (55')
Boggio (47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Independiente
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Lanus

All competitions

Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Lanus
41.34% ( -0.05)	29.23% ( -0.01)	29.43% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 43% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.48% (

0.05)

63.52% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.16% (

0.04)

82.84% (

-0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0)

30.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.01)

66.47% (

0.01)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69% (

0.07)

38.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93% (

0.07)

75.07% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Independiente 41.34%

Lanus 29.43%

Draw 29.22%

Independiente	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 13.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.94% 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 41.34%	1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.22%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.61% Total : 29.43%