MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:53:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 3, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Merentiel (71'), Medina (84')
Varela (57'), Fernandez (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (29'), Mendez (57'), Hernandez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 4-1 Tucuman
Monday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Boca Juniors 2-0 Sarmiento

While Boca Juniors have struggled to get going in the league, they will be backing themselves to see off a Sarmiento side who have failed to win their last five encounters. We predict that Almiron's men will pick up from where they dropped off against Monagas and claim all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 66.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.08%) and 3-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.67%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
66.35% (0.128 0.13) 23.21% (-0.09 -0.09) 10.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 31.26% (0.087 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.34% (0.195 0.2)63.66% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.06% (0.14 0.14)82.94% (-0.136 -0.14)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.124 0.12)19.01% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.202 0.2)50.56% (-0.196 -0.2)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.6% (0.051000000000002 0.05)61.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)91.35% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 66.33%
    Sarmiento 10.44%
    Draw 23.21%
Boca JuniorsDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 19.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 16.08%
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.34% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.7% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 66.33%
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.31%
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 10.44%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Sarmiento

Boca Juniors
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Sarmiento
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Sarmiento
0-1
Boca Juniors
Langoni (45+1')
Nov 20, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
2-0
Sarmiento
Vasquez (25'), Fabra (47')
Mar 1, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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