Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boca Juniors in this match.

Result
Sarmiento	Draw	Boca Juniors
26.03% ( -0)	26.67% ( 0.02)	47.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.62% (

-0.07)

56.38% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.06)

77.4% (

0.06)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82% (

-0.04)

37.18% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-0.04)

73.97% (

0.05)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.15% (

-0.04)

23.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

-0.05)

58.04% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sarmiento 26.03%

Boca Juniors 47.3%

Draw 26.67%

Sarmiento	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.03%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.3%