Sarmiento

2 - 0

Arsenal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.