Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Sarmiento4 - 1Tucuman
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Sarmiento 1-0 Atletico Tucuman
Given Sarmiento's solid run of results at home and the visitors showing some semblance of the form they produced last season, this looks set to be a tight match. Neither side have been prolific this season, and it would come as no surprise if the first goal turns out to be the winner. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
40.24% ( -0.07) | 29.12% ( 0.02) | 30.64% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
