Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24

Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Lanus

Morales (75' og.), Colombo (84')
Cardona (28'), Sant'Anna (45+4'), Fernandez (46')

FT(HT: 0-1)

De la Vega (5'), Orozco (48')
Jose Caceres (22'), Diaz (77'), Sanchez Mino (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Defensa
Thursday, July 6 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Lanus

All competitions

Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Lanus

Lanus have made a habit out of drawing on their travels, sharing the spoils in three of their last four away games, and with both sides very evenly-matched, we are expecting them to play out a closely-contested draw this weekend. That result would suit third-placed San Lorenzo to the ground, but they face a very tough test at home against league-leaders River Plate, meaning the door may be open for Defensa y Justicia or Lanus to close the gap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Lanus
39.27% ( -0.11)	29.58% ( -0.01)	31.15% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 42.71% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.84% (

0.07)

64.16% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.7% (

0.05)

83.3% (

-0.05)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.16% (

-0.03)

31.84% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

-0.04)

68.28% (

0.04)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

0.14)

37.33% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88% (

0.13)

74.12% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 39.27%

Lanus 31.15%

Draw 29.57%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.27%	1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 31.15%