MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 02:15:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Lanus

Morales (75' og.), Colombo (84')
Cardona (28'), Sant'Anna (45+4'), Fernandez (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De la Vega (5'), Orozco (48')
Jose Caceres (22'), Diaz (77'), Sanchez Mino (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Defensa
Thursday, July 6 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Lanus

Lanus have made a habit out of drawing on their travels, sharing the spoils in three of their last four away games, and with both sides very evenly-matched, we are expecting them to play out a closely-contested draw this weekend. That result would suit third-placed San Lorenzo to the ground, but they face a very tough test at home against league-leaders River Plate, meaning the door may be open for Defensa y Justicia or Lanus to close the gap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
39.27% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 31.15% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.84% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.16% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.3% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)31.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)68.28% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.136 0.14)37.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.132 0.13)74.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 39.27%
    Lanus 31.15%
    Draw 29.57%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Defensa vs Lanus

Defensa y Justicia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lanus
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Malcorra (39')
Varaldo (56'), Belmonte (80')
Loaiza (67')
Loaiza (31')
Pizzini (18')
Dec 12, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Defensa
2-1
Lanus
Rotondi (25'), Bou (84')
Gutierrez (31'), Hachen (45+4'), Frias (65')
Gutierrez (45')
Gonzalez (10')
Gonzalez (43'), Belmonte (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+1')
Feb 20, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Lanus
2-1
Defensa
Belmonte (5'), Sand (32' pen.)
Perez (83'), Belmonte (86')
Romero (27')
Jeremias Fernandez (68'), Paredes (70'), Hachen (79'), Martinez (81'), Merentiel (89')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Final
Lanus
0-3
Defensa

Bernabei (49'), Belluschi (70'), Perez (73'), Burdisso (81')
Frias (34'), Romero (62'), Camacho (90+2')
Romero (63'), Jeremias Fernandez (77')
Dec 20, 2020 8.10pm
Fase Complementacion
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Thaller (13')
Perez (30'), Aude (36'), Thaller (89'), Morgantini (90+4')
Merentiel (44')
Breitenbruch (13'), Escalante (27'), Loaiza (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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