MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:50:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
2 - 2
Lanus

Morales (75' og.), Colombo (84')
Cardona (28'), Sant'Anna (45+4'), Fernandez (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De la Vega (5'), Orozco (48')
Jose Caceres (22'), Diaz (77'), Sanchez Mino (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Defensa
Thursday, July 6 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Lanus

Lanus have made a habit out of drawing on their travels, sharing the spoils in three of their last four away games, and with both sides very evenly-matched, we are expecting them to play out a closely-contested draw this weekend. That result would suit third-placed San Lorenzo to the ground, but they face a very tough test at home against league-leaders River Plate, meaning the door may be open for Defensa y Justicia or Lanus to close the gap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
39.27% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.58% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 31.15% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 42.71% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.84% (0.072000000000003 0.07)64.16% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.3% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)31.84% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)68.28% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (0.136 0.14)37.33% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.132 0.13)74.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 39.27%
    Lanus 31.15%
    Draw 29.57%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 13.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 39.27%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.57%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Defensa vs Lanus

Defensa y Justicia
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lanus
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 2
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Malcorra (39')
Varaldo (56'), Belmonte (80')
Loaiza (67')
Loaiza (31')
Pizzini (18')
Dec 12, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Defensa
2-1
Lanus
Rotondi (25'), Bou (84')
Gutierrez (31'), Hachen (45+4'), Frias (65')
Gutierrez (45')
Gonzalez (10')
Gonzalez (43'), Belmonte (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+1')
Feb 20, 2021 8.10pm
First Phase
Lanus
2-1
Defensa
Belmonte (5'), Sand (32' pen.)
Perez (83'), Belmonte (86')
Romero (27')
Jeremias Fernandez (68'), Paredes (70'), Hachen (79'), Martinez (81'), Merentiel (89')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Final
Lanus
0-3
Defensa

Bernabei (49'), Belluschi (70'), Perez (73'), Burdisso (81')
Frias (34'), Romero (62'), Camacho (90+2')
Romero (63'), Jeremias Fernandez (77')
Dec 20, 2020 8.10pm
Fase Complementacion
Lanus
1-1
Defensa
Thaller (13')
Perez (30'), Aude (36'), Thaller (89'), Morgantini (90+4')
Merentiel (44')
Breitenbruch (13'), Escalante (27'), Loaiza (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!