Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 13, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 0Belgrano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Defensa
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Belgrano 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 3 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Belgrano
When the tension begins to mount, Defensa seem to lose their composure, and their hesitancy and inability to hold a lead is the reason why we project a stalemate on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 28.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Belgrano |
41.86% ( 0.4) | 29.6% ( 0.09) | 28.54% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 41.69% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
