Defensa's impressive home record of late makes them big favourites to come out on top here and while we expect anything but a straightforward affair, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Tigre
42.48% ( 0.53)	27.61% ( -0.21)	29.9% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 47.57% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.09% (

0.65)

57.9% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.51)

78.61% (

-0.51)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

0.59)

26.94% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72% (

0.77)

62.28% (

-0.77)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11% (

0.1)

34.89% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37% (

0.11)

71.62% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 42.47%

Tigre 29.9%

Draw 27.61%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Tigre
1-0 @ 12.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.16% Total : 29.9%