Union

2 - 0

Defensa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.