![Botafogo logo Botafogo logo](https://sm.imgix.net/23/34/botlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
![Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia](https://sm.imgix.net/23/29/dyjlog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Botafogo1 - 1Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Botafogo
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, August 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Emelec
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Botafogo 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
Fogo may be the stingiest defensive unit in South America, and we expect their tight marking will frustrate Defensa's top attacking threats, allowing them to find that opening which they tend to capitalise on at home. The Brazilians could be missing their top goalscorer in Tiquinho Soares for this match, but Lage is a resourceful manager who we believe will find a solution. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
54.2% (![]() | 25.44% (![]() | 20.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.31% (![]() | 56.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% (![]() | 77.64% (![]() |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% (![]() | 20.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.3% (![]() | 53.7% (![]() |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.17% (![]() | 42.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.86% (![]() | 79.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Botafogo 54.19%
Defensa y Justicia 20.36%
Draw 25.44%
Botafogo | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
1-0 @ 14.02% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.95% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 11.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.11% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.03% Total : 20.36% |
How you voted: Botafogo vs Defensa
Botafogo
76.2%Draw
19.0%Defensa y Justicia
4.8%21
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-25 03:03:11
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
1
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2
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3
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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