Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg

Jul 19, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 1
Patronato

(Botafogo win 3-1 on aggregate)

Henrique (3')
Janderson (44'), Sampaio (54'), Hugo (74'), Di Placido (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Arce (67')
Pereyra (25'), Arce (71')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Botafogo and Patronato, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Bragantino
Sunday, July 16 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Patronato

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Patronato 0-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, July 12 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Botafogo 2-0 Patronato (Botafogo to win 4-0 on aggregate)

Botafogo are enjoying a remarkable season even at this early stage of proceedings, with Lage's side in pole position to win their third domestic crown as well as progress to the last eight of the Copa Sudamericana. Patronato appear unlikely to bounce back to Argentina's Primera Division at the first time of asking, and we can envisage them falling to another 2-0 defeat to crash out of South American football here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Patronato
62.68% ( -0.02)	23.73% ( 0.01)	13.58% ( 0)

Both teams to score 37.61% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

-0.02)

59.91% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

-0.01)

80.16% (

0.01)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

-0.01)

18.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

-0.02)

50.41% (

0.02)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.38% (

-0)

53.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.96% (

-0)

87.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 62.67%

Patronato 13.58%

Draw 23.73%

Botafogo	Draw	Patronato
1-0 @ 16.88% 2-0 @ 14.06% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 62.67%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.73%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 13.58%