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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
May 15, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs Ladies
0 - 1
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamano (37')
Carter (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Ladies and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women

Chelsea have had 10 days to prepare for Wednesday's fixture, and we think that they will make full use of their fresher legs to beat Spurs and move to the top of the WSL table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 19.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawChelsea Women
19.49% (-0.177 -0.18) 21.55% (-0.106 -0.11) 58.95% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (0.216 0.22)42.12% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.21899999999999 0.22)64.52% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)72.1% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.03% (0.15300000000001 0.15)13.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.55% (0.308 0.31)41.45% (-0.314 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 19.49%
    Chelsea Women 58.95%
    Draw 21.55%
Tottenham Hotspur LadiesDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 5.25% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.13% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.67% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 19.49%
1-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.55%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.53% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 6.28% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.4% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.21% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.27% (0.023 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 58.95%

How you voted: Spurs Ladies vs Chelsea Women

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
11.8%
Draw
5.9%
Chelsea Women
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Chelsea Women
2-1
Spurs Ladies
Fishel (28'), James (51')
Thomas (76')
Spence (30')
Feb 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Spurs Ladies
2-3
Chelsea Women
England (16'), Karczewska (88')
Carter (8'), James (27'), Reiten (64')
Nov 20, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 8
Chelsea Women
3-0
Spurs Ladies
Kerr (12'), Cuthbert (26'), Reiten (36' pen.)
Apr 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chelsea Women
2-1
Spurs Ladies
England (19'), Kerr (45+1')
Harrop (44')
Ayane (87'), Bartrip (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Spurs Ladies
1-3
Chelsea Women
Ingle (15' og.)
Zadorsky (73'), Deman (75')
Reiten (27'), Kerr (71'), Fleming (90+5')
Bright (45+4'), Carter (90+3')
Berger (33')
rhs 2.0
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