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Women's Super League | Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 at 1pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
4 - 0
Leicester

Shaw (2', 29'), Park (49'), Fowler (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Leicester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hammarby 1-2 Man City
Thursday, November 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, November 17 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Manchester City Women 3-0 Leicester City Women

Man City have won all seven of their competitive home matches this season, and we think that they will maintain their perfect home record by sweeping past a Leicester side that have lost their last two away league games without conceding. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 80.46%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Leicester City Women win it was 0-1 (2.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester City Women
80.46% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 13.17% (0.039 0.04) 6.38% (0.020099999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (-0.103 -0.1)36.77% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (-0.11 -0.11)58.93% (0.111 0.11)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)7.12% (0.0351 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)25.93% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.03% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)87.26% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 80.45%
    Leicester City Women 6.38%
    Draw 13.17%
Manchester City WomenDrawLeicester City Women
2-0 @ 13.41% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 4.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 80.45%
1-1 @ 6.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.55% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 13.17%
0-1 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 6.38%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 13
Man City
2-0
Leicester
Hemp (82'), Kelly (85')

Nevin (9'), Takarada (26'), O'Brien (57'), Howard (66')
Oct 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Leicester
0-1
Man City

O'Brien (85')
Kelly (10')
Angeldal (90')
Feb 4, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 13
Leicester
0-2
Man City
Shaw (61'), Kelly (74')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Man City
4-0
Leicester
Shaw (24', 79'), Hemp (72'), Hasegawa (88')
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 20
Man City
4-0
Leicester
Weir (16'), Hemp (43'), Blakstad (45+3'), Greenwood (63' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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