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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
0 - 1
Liverpool Women


Aspin (25')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hobinger (13')
Bo Kearns (35'), Roman Haug (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 5-0 Bristol Women
Sunday, April 14 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 1-4 Man City Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 0-2 Liverpool Women

Bristol City have struggled to compete in their first season back in the top flight, and we think that their difficult campaign will continue with a defeat in Saturday's home meeting with Liverpool. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Women win with a probability of 71.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-0 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
11.06% (-0.019 -0.02) 17.12% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 71.82% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64% (-0.377 -0.38)39.37% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3% (-0.396 -0.4)61.7% (0.401 0.4)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.97% (-0.288 -0.29)45.03% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.04% (-0.231 -0.23)80.96% (0.235 0.23)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34% (-0.104 -0.1)9.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.76% (-0.253 -0.25)32.24% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 11.06%
    Liverpool Women 71.81%
    Draw 17.12%
Bristol City WomenDrawLiverpool Women
1-0 @ 3.47% (0.034 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 11.06%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 17.12%
0-2 @ 11.88% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 9.26% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 5.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-6 @ 0.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 71.81%

Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Liverpool Women
1-1
Bristol Women
Roman Haug (57')
Hinds (22'), Bonner (46'), Fisk (55')
Thestrup (50')
Harrison (12'), Thestrup (43')
Jan 19, 2020 3pm
Oct 13, 2019 12pm
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Liverpool Women
5-2
Bristol Women
Babajide (11', 41', 65'), Daniels (45'), Hodson (91')
Kerkdijk (35'), Fahey (83' og.)
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Bristol Women
2-1
Liverpool Women
Graham (16'), Rutherford (21')
Sweetman-Kirk (36')
Babajide (60'), Fahey (69')
rhs 2.0
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