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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
3 - 2
Real Madrid

Nusken (2'), Reiten (27' pen.), Ramirez (53')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Redondo (39'), Caicedo (84')
Abilleira (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Real Madrid Femenino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-7 Chelsea
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Real Madrid Femenino

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 Sporting
Thursday, September 26 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Brighton82.67Seike
2Chelsea84.00Reiten
3Spurs82.67Ahtinen
4Liverpool51.67Hobinger
5Man City51.67Fowler
6Aston Villa41.33Daly
7Man Utd42.00Clinton
8Arsenal31.00Maanum
9Crystal Palace20.67Blanchard
10Leicester10.33Rantala
11West Ham10.33Ueki
12Everton00.00

We said: Chelsea Women 2-2 Real Madrid Femenino

 Chelsea will be keen to begin their European campaign with a victory, but we think that they could be held to a draw by a Real Madrid side that will be full of confidence after kicking off their season with seven consecutive victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Real Madrid Femenino had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Real Madrid Femenino win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
42.02% (-0.101 -0.1) 25.6% (0.029 0.03) 32.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.86% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)49.14% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.79% (-0.087 -0.09)71.21% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)23.24% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (-0.133 -0.13)57.14% (0.136 0.14)
Real Madrid Femenino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (0.0020000000000095 0)28.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52%64.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 42.02%
    Real Madrid Femenino 32.38%
    Draw 25.6%
Chelsea WomenDrawReal Madrid Femenino
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.38%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Real Madrid

Chelsea Women
62.8%
Draw
27.9%
Real Madrid Femenino
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-1
Real Madrid
Reiten (62' pen.), Chavas (70' og.)
Del Castillo (69')
Nov 15, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Chelsea
Carmona (10', 79' pen.)
Toletti (45'), Sousa (90')
Charles (41'), Kerr (74')
Dec 8, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
1-1
Chelsea
Weir (36')
Rodriguez (59' og.)
> Preview
Nov 23, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Chelsea
2-0
Real Madrid
Ingle (67'), Cuthbert (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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