Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.46%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.