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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
4 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (40', 56'), Craven (79'), H (83')
Evans (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cadwallader (62'), Darlington (74')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-3 New Saints
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 68.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
68.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 18.16% (0.112 0.11) 13.09%
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.21% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)38.79% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.9% (-0.557 -0.56)61.1% (0.56 0.56)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.74% (-0.167 -0.17)10.26% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)33.61% (0.391 0.39)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.337 -0.34)41.28% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.3 -0.3)77.81% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 68.74%
    Aberystwyth Town 13.09%
    Draw 18.16%
Cardiff MUDrawAberystwyth Town
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 68.74%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.16%
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.09%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
0-1
Cardiff MU

Owen (56')
Evans (34')
Evans (70'), Evans (73'), Rees (83')
Evans (75')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff MU
2-1
Aberystwyth
Rees (9', 28')
Darlington (81')
Aug 20, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-4
Cardiff MU
Jones (8', 29', 34'), Evans (70')
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff MU
1-1
Aberystwyth
McCarthy (48')
Price (8'), Evans (31'), Roscrow (79')
Jenkins (8')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aberystwyth
0-2
Cardiff MU

Davies (32'), Franklin (81')
Lewis (72'), Evans (76')
McCarthy (82'), Chubb (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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