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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 1
Aberystwyth


Hulbert (26'), Veale (64'), Blythe (69'), Cotterill (82')
Press (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadwallader (90+1')
Bradford (36')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-1 Barry
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.63%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
54.74% (0.661 0.66) 20.92% (-0.111 -0.11) 24.33% (-0.55 -0.55)
Both teams to score 65.14% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)32.83% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)54.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.178 0.18)12.17% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.374 0.37)37.8% (-0.374 -0.37)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)25.83% (0.42 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.575 -0.57)60.79% (0.57599999999999 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 54.74%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.33%
    Draw 20.92%
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.075 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.039 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.33%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
0-1
Aberystwyth

Cotterill (41'), Green (42'), Abbruzzese (69')
Cotterill (88')
Davies (4')
Owen (43'), Veale (43')
Mar 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Owen (5'), Davies (79')
(51'), Veale (59'), Owen (82'), Rimmer (90+4')
Day (51')
Press (58'), Wharton (70')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Barry
1-1
Aberystwyth
McLaggon (65')
Abbruzzese (22'), Day (41')
Franklin (85')
Rimmer (11'), Davies (17'), Jones (38')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
2-1
Barry
Phillips (44'), Jones (90')
Jarvis (23')
Sainty (88')
Mar 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Barry
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jarvis (87')
Bird (60'), Patten (82')

J (41'), Jones (70'), Jenkins (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
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12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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