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Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jun 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
4 - 0
Maldonado

Gargano (1'), Alvarez (43', 82'), Varela (72' og.)
Ceppelini (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Conechny (3'), Lima (60'), Gonzalez (67'), Ravecca (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
53.1%23.88%23.02%
Both teams to score 53.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12%47.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94%70.06%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.03%17.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18%48.82%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.93%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.1%
    Deportivo Maldonado 23.02%
    Draw 23.87%
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.33%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.87%
0-1 @ 6.61%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 23.02%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
1-1
Maldonado
A (45+1')
Torres (90+4')
Cantera (69' pen.)
Tellechea (21'), Tealde (33'), Olivera (45+2'), Lerda (53'), Ravecca (60')
Olivera (52'), Ravecca (81')
Nov 8, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 3
Penarol
4-1
Maldonado
Terans (3'), Britos (23', 58'), N. Olivera Moreira (90+4' og.)
Kagelmacher (28'), Estoyanoff (74'), Vadocz (89')
Batista (69')
Sant'Anna (33')
Estigarribia (38')
Aug 19, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 6
Maldonado
2-0
Penarol
Cantera (74'), Muniz (77')
Pagano (18'), Gonzalez (20'), Pagano (30'), Muniz (82')

Acosta (7'), Bravo (36')
rhs 2.0
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