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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Sivasspor
1 - 1
Istanbul

Duarte (37' og.)
Erdal (85'), Appindangoye (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Szysz (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sivasspor 0-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Sivasspor face a difficult match after not turning out for over three weeks and could be caught cold on Sunday evening in front of their home faithful. Basaksehir realise it is now or never for their top-three dreams, and we believe they will record a much-needed maximum on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
SivassporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
38.35% (0.137 0.14) 25.96% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 35.69% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (0.074999999999996 0.07)50.04% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (0.067 0.07)72.02% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.111 0.11)25.54% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.15 0.15)60.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.05% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)62.42% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sivasspor 38.35%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 35.69%
    Draw 25.96%
SivassporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Istanbul

Sivasspor
28.6%
Draw
21.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir
50.0%
14
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2022 6pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Sivasspor
0-2
Istanbul

Ciftci (38'), Oguz (66')
Goutas (3' og.), Turuc (60')
Tekdemir (28'), Caicara (54'), Epureanu (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
2-1
Sivasspor
Gulbrandsen (17'), Tekdemir (24')
Ali Sahiner (43'), Cigerci (74'), Chadli (78'), Duarte (90+2'), Okaka (90+6')
Henrique (59' pen.)
Goutas (71'), Atakan Kesgin (89')
May 8, 2021 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2021 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce19143249183145
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK19104538231534
5EyupsporEyupspor1996432191333
6BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor195771924-522
12KasimpasaKasimpasa1941052733-622
13KonyasporKonyaspor195682431-721
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor1963102138-1721
15SivassporSivasspor195592132-1120
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1922151542-275


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