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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
4 - 3
Sivasspor

Diagne (45+4', 53', 80'), Ozdoyev (69')
Borini (34'), Bertolacci (73'), Ricci (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caicedo (27'), James (90+1', 90+6')
Goutas (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Karagumruk
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sivasspor 1-0 Besiktas
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Sivasspor

Karagumruk have not kept a clean sheet at the Vefa Stadium in their last five Super Lig games, and that run is expected to continue against this weekend's opponents, who have scored in five successive away fixtures. With Pirlo's men possessing more firepower up front, they should edge proceedings with both sides finding the back of the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
46.83% (0.353 0.35) 24.19% (0.15 0.15) 28.97% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.859 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (-0.983 -0.98)44.44% (0.977 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.959 -0.96)66.81% (0.952 0.95)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.245 -0.25)19.11% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-0.405 -0.41)50.74% (0.4 0.4)
Sivasspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.846 -0.85)28.6% (0.841 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-1.07 -1.07)64.4% (1.066 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 46.83%
    Sivasspor 28.97%
    Draw 24.19%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawSivasspor
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.311 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28.97%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Sivasspor

Fatih Karagumruk
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Sivasspor
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.15pm
Feb 20, 2022 1pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Sivasspor
Borini (68' pen.)
Durmaz (87'), Bekaroglu (90+1')

Cofie (44'), Ciftci (67'), Gradel (90'), Atakan Kesgin (90+3')
Sep 25, 2021 11.30am
Sivasspor
4-0
Karagumruk
Kayode (1'), Goutas (50'), Felix (56'), Gradel (71')

Zukanovic (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 10.30am
Nov 21, 2020 10.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Sivasspor
Sabo (86')
Biglia (32'), Ndao (78'), Altinay (90+2'), Sabo (90+6')
Kone (44')
Camara (45+1'), Cofie (83'), Samassa (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce19143249183145
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK19104538231534
5EyupsporEyupspor1996432191333
6BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor195771924-522
12KasimpasaKasimpasa1941052733-622
13KonyasporKonyaspor195682431-721
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor1963102138-1721
15SivassporSivasspor195592132-1120
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1922151542-275


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