Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.14) 
