Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma3 - 1Ternana
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cosenza 0-0 Parma
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 16 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Lecco 2-3 Ternana
Sunday, December 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, December 17 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Ternana |
50.9% ( 0.01) | 25.71% ( -0) | 23.39% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
