Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza0 - 1Genoa
We said: Monza 1-2 Genoa
Monza may end their scoring drought, but the wait for a league win will go on: Genoa showed great spirit against the Italian champions last time out, proving they will be tough to beat again this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Genoa |
55.81% ( 0.05) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 20.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
