Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
33.45% ( -0.02) | 25.96% ( -0.02) | 40.59% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.6% ( 0.07) | 50.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% ( 0.06) | 72.34% ( -0.06) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.02) | 28.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.03) | 64.39% ( -0.03) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( 0.05) | 24.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% ( 0.07) | 58.98% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |