Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Slaven Koprivnica had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Slaven Koprivnica win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sibenik would win this match.