Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
31.35% | 30.98% | 37.67% |
Both teams to score 39.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.74% | 68.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.89% | 86.11% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% | 35.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.47% Total : 31.35% | 0-0 @ 13.83% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.97% | 0-1 @ 14.51% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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