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Premier League | Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Southampton
1 - 3
Bournemouth

Deen Sulemana (72')
Smallbone (10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ouattara (14'), Christie (16'), Tavernier (83')
Cook (8'), Semenyo (32'), Tavernier (78')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth survive a second-half scare to triumph 3-1 over Premier League basement boys Southampton and enhance their European credentials at St Mary's.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Bournemouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
35.97% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 23.68% (-0.14 -0.14) 40.35% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 62.54% (0.536 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (0.695 0.7)39.42% (-0.692 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (0.72 0.72)61.76% (-0.72 -0.72)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.352 0.35)21.97% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (0.529 0.53)55.27% (-0.528 -0.53)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.328 0.33)19.85% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.528 0.53)51.95% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 35.97%
    Bournemouth 40.35%
    Draw 23.67%
SouthamptonDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.35%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth

Southampton
20.9%
Draw
6.6%
Bournemouth
72.5%
91
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bournemouth
3-1
Southampton
Evanilson (17'), Ouattara (32'), Semenyo (39')
Tavernier (45+1'), Kerkez (50')
Harwood-Bellis (51')
Fernandes (27'), Sugawara (52'), Obling (55'), Downes (55'), Lallana (90+4')
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Southampton
2-3
Bournemouth
Charles (44'), Armstrong (65')
Ouattara (15'), Christie (17'), Brooks (83')
Apr 27, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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