Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton0 - 1Bournemouth
The Match
Match Report
Southampton's relegation fears deepen after suffering a 1-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-4 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
40.97% ( -0.76) | 26.82% ( 0.18) | 32.21% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.53) | 54.18% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.44) | 75.59% ( 0.44) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( -0.64) | 26.03% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.94% ( -0.87) | 61.06% ( 0.87) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( 0.13) | 31.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.15) | 67.65% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
Southampton 40.97%
Bournemouth 32.21%
Draw 26.81%
| Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.21% |
How you voted: Southampton vs Bournemouth
Southampton
45.7%Draw
16.4%Bournemouth
37.9%140
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton
Jul 19, 2020 2pm
gameweek 37
Bournemouth
0-2
Southampton
Sep 20, 2019 8pm
gameweek 6
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
gameweek 36
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Form Guide
