MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:19:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
4 - 0
Lech Poznan

Nowak (14'), Berggren (25', 36'), Mrozek (69' og.)
Svarnas (8'), Drachal (21'), Crnac (29')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gurgul (5'), Marchwinski (40')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, February 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawLech Poznan
44.71% (-0.974 -0.97) 25.83% (0.25 0.25) 29.46% (0.728 0.73)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (-0.648 -0.65)51.22% (0.652 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (-0.57 -0.57)73.06% (0.57400000000001 0.57)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.726 -0.73)22.84% (0.73 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.43% (-1.085 -1.09)56.57% (1.09 1.09)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.202 0.2)31.72% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.231 0.23)68.14% (-0.22699999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 44.71%
    Lech Poznan 29.46%
    Draw 25.82%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.259 0.26)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.174 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Lech Poznan
4-1
Rakow
Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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