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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Gateshead

Sutton
0 - 1
Gateshead


Vaz (38'), Harris (78'), Barbrook (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hannant (53' pen.)
Newton (61'), Oseni (88'), Hannant (90+3'), Booty (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Sutton United and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Sutton 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Gateshead
Saturday, October 19 at 3.05pm in National League

We said: Sutton United 1-2 Gateshead

 Both teams are in difficult periods heading into this match, however, the visitors will be encouraged by the positive result in their first game under new manager Magnay, which we believe will help them secure a victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
31.78% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.83% (0.125 0.13) 44.39% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 60.64% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.65% (-0.79 -0.79)41.35% (0.795 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.25% (-0.807 -0.81)63.75% (0.811 0.81)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (-0.678 -0.68)25.23% (0.682 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02% (-0.943 -0.94)59.98% (0.947 0.95)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.164 -0.16)18.89% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.277 -0.28)50.37% (0.281 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.78%
    Gateshead 44.39%
    Draw 23.83%
Sutton UnitedDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.167 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.074 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.39%

How you voted: Sutton vs Gateshead

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gateshead
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 48
Sutton
4-2
Gateshead
Kearney (51'), Dobson (63' pen.), Beckwith (86', 90')
Dobson (32'), Kearney (45')
Olley (44', 46')
Hunter (14'), Tinkler (45'), Barrow (62')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Gateshead
0-0
Sutton
Tinkler (90'), Molyneux (90')
Beckwith (90'), Clough (90')
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Gateshead
0-2
Sutton

Peniket (89')
Wright (74', 80')
Sep 9, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-1
Gateshead
Walton (27' pen.)
Johnson (15' pen.)
Fyfield (54'), Penn (59'), Hanford (95')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Sutton
3-0
Gateshead
Deacon (42'), Biamou (60', 83')
Eastmond (28'), Cadogan (81')

Hannant (35'), Hanford (41'), Fyfield (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312
> National League Full Table


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