Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
29.01% ( 0.76) | 24.39% ( -0.25) | 46.6% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( 1.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( 1.54) | 45.31% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.35% ( 1.46) | 67.65% ( -1.46) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.99% ( 1.34) | 29.01% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.08% ( 1.62) | 64.92% ( -1.62) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( 0.41) | 19.56% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( 0.66) | 51.47% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.01% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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