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Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 11, 2022 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Torquay United

Oldham
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Crowe (11' og.), Tollitt (64'), Abraham (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Goodwin (52'), Jarvis (68' pen.)
Goodwin (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-1 Oldham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Torquay United

 There is not too much separating the teams in the league standings, so we expect them to play out a score draw on Sunday. Torquay have been in better recent form, and may have a slight edge, but with the game being at Boundary Park, Oldham should be able to do enough to get a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
51.88% (0.486 0.49) 24.31% (-0.084 -0.08) 23.81% (-0.397 -0.4)
Both teams to score 52.73% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.92% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.19 0.19)18.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.312 0.31)50.28% (-0.308 -0.31)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)35.04% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22% (-0.372 -0.37)71.78% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 51.87%
    Torquay United 23.81%
    Draw 24.31%
Oldham AthleticDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Oldham vs Torquay Utd

Oldham Athletic
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Torquay United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
0-0
Oldham

Ali (30'), Marshall (50'), McGavin (67'), Wyatt (71')

Hogan (43'), Gardner (55')
Gardner (74')
Apr 23, 2005 3pm
Oldham
1-2
Torquay Utd
Eyres (25')
Owen (51'), Killen (70')
Hockley (41'), Akinfenwa (49')
Hill (76')
Nov 6, 2004 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-0
Oldham
Gritton (71'), Constantine (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312
> National League Full Table


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