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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Barnet
National League | Gameweek 20
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium
Torquay United

Barnet
1 - 0
Torquay Utd

Armstrong (9')
Hall (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goodwin (13'), Lapslie (44'), Hanson (59'), Ellis (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Barnet and Torquay United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Barnet
Monday, November 14 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Torquay United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Derby 5-0 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

We said: Barnet 3-0 Torquay United

 Barnet are looking good to finish this season in the playoffs and a home assignment against Torquay seems like the perfect game to win convincingly in front of the home faithful. United have been conceding at an alarming rate over the past month and need to address those defensive issues in order to give themselves a chance of staying in the National League this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawTorquay United
49.65%23.42% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 26.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 58.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)42.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.79%17.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71% (0.0010000000000048 0)29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)64.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 49.65%
    Torquay United 26.92%
    Draw 23.43%
BarnetDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 49.65%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-1 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 26.92%

How you voted: Barnet vs Torquay Utd

Barnet
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Torquay United
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-2
Barnet
Lemonheigh-Evans (8', 27')
Duke-McKenna (45+3')
Marriott (37'), Mason-Clark (60')
Marshall (13'), De Havilland (45'), Grego-Cox (57'), Richards-Everton (73'), Howe (89'), Oxborough (90+2')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Barnet
2-1
Torquay Utd
Marriott (42'), Mason-Clark (65' pen.)
Woods (46'), Marriott (58'), Mason-Clark (82'), Oxborough (90+3')
Little (59')
Ali (64'), MacDonald (83')
May 22, 2021 3pm
Torquay Utd
2-2
Barnet
Andrews (13'), Lemonheigh-Evans (23')
Hall (26'), Lewis (40')
Petrasso (37' pen.), Kefalas (54')
Richards-Everton (45'), Vaughan (77')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Barnet
0-2
Torquay Utd

Taylor (29'), Wordsworth (61')
Whitfield (8'), Andrews (83')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Torquay Utd
P-P
Barnet
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green271510245212455
2York City26166451222954
3Barnet27166554302454
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham25128542281444
6AltrinchamAltrincham26118743311241
7Solihull MoorsSolihull27125104538741
8Rochdale23123834211339
9Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
10Sutton UnitedSutton2710893836238
11Eastleigh2791173735238
12Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2691073231137
14Southend UnitedSouthend268992930-133
15Tamworth2596102941-1233
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
17Woking2779112838-1030
18Aldershot TownAldershot27611104046-629
19Braintree TownBraintree2776142638-1227
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2775153554-1926
21WealdstoneWealdstone25510103138-725
22Fylde2564153054-2422
23Boston UnitedBoston2537152143-2216
24Ebbsfleet2819182164-4312
> National League Full Table


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