FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City0 - 1Barnet
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 Hampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
We said: Chelmsford City 1-2 Barnet
Chelmsford matched Barnet in their clash last weekend, and we are expecting this to be a close affair. It would certainly not be a surprise to see the home side triumph, but we believe that Barnet will ultimately have enough quality to secure a narrow victory and progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Barnet |
44.6% ( -6.42) | 23.5% ( 1.14) | 31.9% ( 5.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
